Contents
THE BIG FIGURES
New supply
2025
184,700 sqm
in
13 new schemes
(vs 169,900 sqm in 2024 and 144,500/year in the last 5 years)
2026
projection
231,500 sqm
Biggest additions
1
Mall Moldova in Iasi (Prime Kapital/MAS REI)
58,900 sqm
(extension)
2
Agora in Arad (Amea Construction)
35,000 sqm
(extension)
3
Iulius Mall in Suceava (Iulius Group)
16,500 sqm
(extension)
Consumer story
Wage growth
+4.2%
YoY in Nov-25
vs
+11.1%
YoY in Dec-24
Inflation
9.7%
in Dec-25
vs
5.7%
in Dec-24
Unemployment rate
6%
in Dec-25
vs
5.7%
in Dec-24
Supply
Approximately 185,000 sqm of modern retail space was delivered in 2025, slightly below the 218,000 sqm projected at the start of the year. Despite falling short of developer forecasts, this remains an impressive result - more than 20% above the previous five-year average. The year’s highlight was the inauguration of Mall Moldova in Iasi (by Prime Kapital/MAS REI), which featured a c.59,000 sqm expansion and a major refurbishment of the former Era Shopping Center. We also included the 35,000 sqm Agora Arad refurbishment in 2025’s completions, as the center was previously closed and excluded from total stock.
A growing trend of “micro” retail parks (2,000 - 4,000 sqm) continues; however, these remain excluded from our figures, as our methodology only tracks schemes with a GLA of at least 4,000 - 5,000 sqm. Overall, 2025 was a well-rounded year with active development across the country. Following a recalculation of national stock - which now accounts for refurbished older schemes that have regained the international tenants’ interest (accounting for less than 200,000 sqm) - Romania’s total modern retail stock officially surpassed the 5 million sqm threshold in 2025.
Demand
2026 presents a complex picture to analyze. While purchasing power dipped and retail trade volumes decreased - with real wages falling 5% year-on-year by November 2025 - the broader context remains resilient. Meanwhile, non-food retail trade also saw a 3% decline in November compared to the same month of the previous year (despite being up some 3% for the first 11 months of 2025). On the other hand, zooming out, we see that Romanian purchasing power has increased very robustly over the past decade and 2025’s decline barely shows up on the radar, while in terms of retail trade, Romania leads the rankings among EU states. So, in short, 2025 was a bit of a softer year coming from a very robust 5-10 year period, which should count for something and keep the retail market more insulated and capable of absorbing the negative twist.
Romania’s non-food retail sales (%) lagged most of the EU in 2025, but it is one of the best performers in the post-pandemic period
Source: Eurostat, Colliers
Overall, the labour market softened a bit in 2025 and employers started shedding jobs; nevertheless, employment decreased by less than 1% (on a net basis) through 2025, while the total number of employees stood at multi-decade highs prior. Furthermore, companies’ hiring intentions, while declining over previous years, are not indicative of an abrupt negative shift similar to one seen during the 2009-2010 recession, when the labour market lost more than 15% of the jobs. For now, assuming that no significant negative event were to materialize, it can be assumed that the labour market has weathered a significant part of the negative news.
Consumer sentiment dip led by real wages, but job losses remain low (for now)
Source: Eurostat, Colliers
ooking a bit more in-depth at the retail scene, it is worth pointing out that the first half of the year showed a mellower, albeit still expanding market, while the second half – a market in a slight downturn as the austerity measures enacted by the government weighed on both real incomes and sentiment. Nevertheless, as we highlighted previously, the actual dip in consumer incomes and the job destruction in particular do not look that bad when looking at more years behind (particularly in comparison with the 2008-2010 recession). This could be why quite a lot of retailers continue to display solid appetite for expansion, even if they display more caution when negotiating.
We also note a decent, but steady, inflow of new brands that want to operate in Romania. Austrian drugstore chain BIPA, Canadian sportswear and apparel brand Lululemon and Malaysian chain Mr. D.I.Y. are among the bigger names that announced their entry on the local market, while previously announced brands like Action and Wendy’s opened their first stores in 2025.
While the local national statistical institute no longer provides a breakdown of the sales by categories (like for household appliances, chemist goods, textiles and so on), we can discern that brick-and-mortar seems to have performed a bit better in 2025 than online. Non-food retail sales, which include both, were up by 3.5% in the first 11 months of the year relative to 2024’s same period, while online sales increased by just 0.3% in the same period of time. Otherwise, anecdotal evidence suggests that amid the elevated inflation and increased economic uncertainties, households became even more price-conscious, favouring discounters. Amid this backdrop, we note the aggressive push by Chinese e-tailers, who tend to be more aggressive with their pricing.
We also want to highlight the rapid shifts taking place in certain submarkets. The food segment remains quite dynamic, with existing players rapidly expanding, a few high-profile M&A closed in recent years and consistent news regarding new names that could enter the market sooner or later. Similarly, the sportswear segment is also quite fluid.
Rents & Vacancy
In general, occupancy remains solid for most shopping centers, with the newly delivered schemes generally well received by the market, including retail parks in small towns. Meanwhile, dominant malls still have virtually non-existent available spaces and waiting lists for potential tenants, allowing these locations to achieve a healthy rate of change of tenants to achieve an optimal mix. On the rent side, 2025 saw increases in rents as turnover remains good (at least in the first part of the year).
Outlook
Despite a somewhat shaky current backdrop, with internal political developments, labour market worries and external uncertainties, retailers and landlords seem to see a robust long-term picture for the Romanian market. Expansion plans continue mostly unabated and with developer promises of around 230,000 sqm of new retail areas for 2026, the year may have the highest completion level since 2011. The pipeline is quite diversified (increasingly more than last years), with a plethora of schemes in the 4,000-20,000 sqm range, coming from many developers (including some non-conventional ones doing one-off projects). It is noteworthy that the higher construction costs are making some developers a bit worried, particularly given the softer consumer, but the longer-term view seems to weigh more.
Retail project deliveries (sqm) by city size
Source: Colliers
On the tenant side, discounters are expected to remain the most active, given that the consumers are expected to remain under pressure through 2026, with some respite expected in 2027 (assuming Romania avoids a disorderly correction, which seems the base case at this point). Nevertheless, the weaker economic activity may have caught some companies off guard and hence, we may see some mergers and acquisitions or outright exits from the market. We also expect some market segments to remain quite dynamic, notably the FMCG scene. Here, Carrefour is reportedly planning its exit, new joiners like Polish-owned Froo (part of Zabka Group) are expanding rapidly alongside other very ambitious plans from the established brands, while other supermarket chains are also reportedly looking at Romania for an entry angle (German group Aldi is one such name, according to local media reports).
We expect consumers to remain quite cautious in 2026, as the higher taxes and elevated inflation as of the second part of 2025 weighed on sentiment. That said, as long as the news from the labour market do not turn overtly negative (particularly when it comes to job losses), things should remain within reasonable levels for household spending. Hence, we would expect consumption to show some signs of stabilization towards the middle of 2026 or in the second part of the year, assuming that economic news don’t turn overtly negative in the following quarters. If the context does evolve towards the worst, we would expect to see a more increased caution from retailers for a period of time.
